High inflation coupled with high interest rates, economists predict that the British economy will lose momentum.
According to a Bloomberg survey of economists, most respondents expect the UK's (GBR) growth to lag further behind other major economies next year at just 0.6 per cent, a sharp downward revision of 0.3 percentage points from the previous survey. Revealing the prospect of a faltering recovery under the weight of high inflation and interest rates, at least respondents expect Britain to avoid a prolonged recession.
Meanwhile, economists raised their estimate for fourth-quarter inflation by 0.2 percentage points to 4.8 per cent. It is not expected to be until 2025 that inflation will fall back to 2%, the Bank of England's (BoE) target.
With inflation the highest among major Western economies, economists expect the central bank to eventually raise rates to 5.75 percent this cycle, 75 basis points higher than the current level. The market expects a terminal rate of more than 6%.
Sanjay Raja, senior economist at Deutsche Bank, said: "After exiting recession in the first half of 2023, the UK is likely to lose momentum. In an environment where inflation remains stubborn, expectations of higher interest rates will continue to hit households and businesses."
The above information is provided by special analysts and is for reference only. CM Trade does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness and completeness of the information content, so you should not place too much reliance on the information provided. CM Trade is not a company that provides financial advice, and only provides services of the nature of execution of orders. Readers are advised to seek relevant investment advice on their own. Please see our full disclaimer.
CM Trade
As a world leading financial trading platform, CMtrade Provides comprehensive one-stop trading services and opportunities for traders.
[Products]
The platform provides over 32 kinds of popular financial products such as forex, precious metals, crude oil, indices, cryptocurrencies and more.
[System]
2 top trading systems CM Trade MT4 / CM Trade APP, powerful and easy to operate
[Service]
Comprehensive market news, professional market analysis, 7*24 hours online customer service
[Advantage]
Low cost, high leverage, flexible one-stop all day two-way trading.
[Authority]
Licensed and strictly regulated by authorities. Traders deposits are independently kept by the bank. Fast deposit and withdrawal. Fair, efficient and transparent trading environment.
CM Trade Mobile Application
Economics Calendar
MoreYou May Also Like