Fundamental analysis:
The EURUSD remained volatile around 0.99427, and the tone of discussion around the ECB interest rate resolution on September 8 seemed to have changed. Several well-known members of the European Central Bank's management committee are pushing for a substantial interest rate increase in September. Inflation has again exceeded expectations, and the global monetary policy background has become more hawkish. The most likely result is a pre hike of 75 basis points.
EURUSD - 4-hour K-line chart shows:
Technical analysis:
According to the 4-hour chart, the low short-term amplitude space is gradually expanding, the short side is shaking and falling again, and it is about to reach the low level in the early stage. The short-term decline may continue. MACD index is weak below the 0 axis, and RSI index is in a narrow range below the 50 equilibrium line;
Long and short turning point: 0.99532
Pressing position: 0.99823, 1.00130
Support position: 0.99154, 0.98880
Trading strategy: bearish below 0.99532, target 0.99154, 0.98880
Alternative strategy: bullish above 0.99532, target 0.99823, 1.00130