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2022 US dollar trend forecast, whether the US dollar will continue to have large investment space

2022-07-29
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The dollar is the currency issued by the United States, because the United States has a huge influence in the world. Therefore, their currency also has a very important position in the world. Judging from the current situation, the vast majority of countries will reserve a certain amount of dollars. Because our foreign exchange transactions need to be settled in US dollars, including our free trade, the common currency of international trade is US dollars. Because the importance of the U.S. dollar is very important, we are also particularly concerned about the trend of the U.S. dollar.

The dollar can not only affect the price trend of gold, but also the price trend of other commodities. As long as the dollar fluctuates wildly, other products will follow the sharp rise and fall.

Review the historical trend of the dollar


In the first stage, the dollar is relatively strong at this stage. Because it has risen to 121.02 in the early stage, and it is a unilateral rise. So then it ushered in a wave of unilateral decline, and in this wave of falling market, the entire market began to stand out slowly. At this time, the pressure on the US dollar index is still very high, and there are still many people who are beginning to bear the dollar index. Therefore, this wave of decline was almost a cliff-like decline, and finally stopped at 70.698.


In the second stage, the dollar at this stage began to stabilize and rise. Although the rate of increase is not particularly large, it has begun to usher in the stage of diamond-shaped consolidation. After entering this stage, it means that the short-term bears have no power. It is very difficult to continue to fall. After finishing, the US dollar index began to usher in a breakthrough rise. Especially the big Yangxian on September 30, which better laid the foundation behind it. The US dollar index has been improved even more, and it has also boosted market confidence.


In the third stage, this stage is the shock adjustment after the rise. This wave of market is still quite good, at least it can help them quickly expand their space. And the pressure above is also increasing, so the long and short sides once again entered the stage of the game.

How will the U.S. dollar index perform in 2021?


2021 has passed, and now it is 2022. In this year's time, the performance of the US dollar index is still very strong. Especially under the trouble of internal and external troubles, the US dollar index can also usher in a wave of rising prices. This is enough to see that the strength of the US dollar index has exceeded everyone's imagination.

Now everyone is very concerned about the follow-up trend of the US dollar index, so the follow-up direction is the top priority. Combined with the current market trend, in 2021, the US dollar index will hardly usher in a decline in the market. This means that the probability of the dollar index falling in 2022 is also very low.

2022 US dollar trend forecast, whether the US dollar will continue to have large investment space

What factors will affect the USD/USD trend in the future?


There are many factors that will affect the trend of the US dollar and the US dollar. These factors are the main factors we should pay attention to.

The first factor is the unemployment rate in the United States.

It should be known that the unemployment rate of the entire population in the United States is still quite serious, from the current situation. The epidemic in their country has not been effectively controlled, and outbreaks have now occurred in almost all continents. The number of sick people in a single day can reach hundreds of thousands, and at this rate of development. Then the employment rate of the United States may be greatly reduced, which will cause their unemployment rate to continue to increase. Once their unemployment rate increases, the trend of the dollar index will also be greatly impacted.

The second factor is the consumer price index.

Many people may not have heard of this index, but this index is also very important. Judging from the current situation, the price rate in the United States is constantly rising. The development and planning of the United States are also quite passive, which makes them feel very helpless. In order to better change their destiny, they also try their best to adjust it through policies. And the current situation, their consumption index is constantly decreasing. Because their production capacity has been greatly reduced, and the work of the working population has been restricted to a certain extent, the funds they can use are also limited.

In the long run, it is not so easy to quickly change their fate, and they need to adjust again and again.

The third factor is the US trade deficit.

This factor has a particularly large impact on the US dollar. You must know that the US dollar is the hegemon of the world. Free trade all over the world needs to be settled in US dollars, which means that the US trade deficit will affect their entire US dollar credit problem. If their trade deficit is not particularly serious, then everyone thinks that the credit of the dollar is very high, and the dollar can be stronger. If their fiscal deficit is particularly serious, everyone will think that the United States does not have the ability to solve their problems, the dollar will be subject to everyone's speculation, and the dollar index will be greatly reduced.

What will the US dollar do in 2022?


Judging from the current situation, in fact, the US dollar index should enter a more volatile range in the market next year. There should still be some difficulties for the dollar to usher in a surge in the market. Unless the United States can quickly solve their epidemic problems, under such an environment, the dollar may usher in a larger space for upside.

Otherwise, they need to find another opportunity. For example, there will be greater turmoil in the outside world, which can better promote the price trend of the US dollar.

In fact, the Fed also particularly hopes to better stabilize the price of the US dollar. If the price of the US dollar fluctuates too much, the impact on the United States will also be great. On the other hand, there will be many problems behind this. If the price of the dollar continues to depreciate, the dollar's dominance will also suffer. If the dollar index continues to decline, other traders will seek an alternative currency, which is not the end the United States wants to see.

The above information is provided by special analysts and is for reference only. CM Trade does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness and completeness of the information content, so you should not place too much reliance on the information provided. CM Trade is not a company that provides financial advice, and only provides services of the nature of execution of orders. Readers are advised to seek relevant investment advice on their own. Please see our full disclaimer.

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